Lancaster City 60%Draw 16%Ilkeston Town 24%Expected goals 1.83 – 1.02
60%
Betarazi pick
Lancaster City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultLancaster City to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12
Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lancaster City welcome Ilkeston Town for a Non League Premier Northern fixture on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Lancaster City are 14th, lower half, on 21 points after 18 matches; Ilkeston Town are 20th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Lancaster City, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Whitby Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ilkeston Town, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rylands, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lancaster City, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for Ilkeston Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lancaster City 1.8 xG, Ilkeston Town 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lancaster City 60%, draw 16%, Ilkeston Town 24%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lancaster City to win (60%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lancaster City 1–0 Ilkeston Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lancaster City60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @3.50
Ilkeston Town24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
2.85Expected goals
1.83Lancaster City xG
1.02Ilkeston Town xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lancaster City 1.8 – 1.0 Ilkeston Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lancaster City to win✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Draw no bet
Lancaster City (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Ilkeston Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Lancaster City to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Lancaster City ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Lancaster City – last 6
WLLLDL
29 Sep
@ Whitby Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ Bradford (Park Avenue)
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Curzon Ashton
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Tadcaster Albion
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Workington
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ilkeston Town – last 6
LLLLLL
29 Sep
vs Rylands
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Anstey Nomads
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Workington
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Leamington
1–3
L
31 Aug
vs Quorn
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Bury
0–7
L
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lancaster City and Ilkeston Town.
What is the prediction for Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
Our pick is Lancaster City to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
On our numbers Lancaster City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Ilkeston Town 24%.
How many goals will there be in Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
Our predicted score is Lancaster City 1–0 Ilkeston Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
