Redcar Athletic 60%Draw 21%Alfreton Town 19%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.85
81%
Betarazi pick
Redcar Athletic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultRedcar Athletic to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceRedcar Athletic or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Non League Premier Northern brings Redcar Athletic against Alfreton Town. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Redcar Athletic are 1st, leading the league, on 38 points after 18 matches; Alfreton Town are 11th (upper half) with 23. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Redcar Athletic, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guisborough Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alfreton Town, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guiseley AFC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Redcar Athletic, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Alfreton Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Redcar Athletic 1.8 xG, Alfreton Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Redcar Athletic 60%, draw 21%, Alfreton Town 19%.
Lower-risk option: Redcar Athletic or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Redcar Athletic or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Redcar Athletic 1–0 Alfreton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Redcar Athletic60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Alfreton Town19%fair 5.28 · @3.75
2.60Expected goals
1.75Redcar Athletic xG
0.85Alfreton Town xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Redcar Athletic 1.8 – 0.8 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Redcar Athletic to win✓
60%
1.67
1.73
Double chance
Redcar Athletic or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Draw no bet
Redcar Athletic (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Alfreton Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Redcar Athletic to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Redcar Athletic ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Redcar Athletic / FT Redcar Athletic✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Redcar Athletic – last 6
WDLWWW
26 Sep
@ Guisborough Town
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Macclesfield
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Leek Town
3–2
W
5 Sep
vs Stocksbridge Park Steels
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Stockton Town
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alfreton Town – last 6
WWLLWL
29 Sep
vs Guiseley AFC
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Shifnal Town FC
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bamber Bridge
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Stratford Town
0–2
L
31 Aug
@ Whitby Town
4–1
W
29 Aug
vs Rylands
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Redcar Athletic and Alfreton Town.
What is the prediction for Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?
Our pick is Redcar Athletic or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?
On our numbers Redcar Athletic have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alfreton Town 19%.
How many goals will there be in Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?
Our predicted score is Redcar Athletic 1–0 Alfreton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?
Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
