Ilkeston Town 21%Draw 22%Guiseley AFC 58%Expected goals 1.09 – 1.96
79%
Betarazi pick
Guiseley AFC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceGuiseley AFC or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ilkeston Town welcome Guiseley AFC for a Non League Premier Northern fixture on Tuesday 6 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Ilkeston Town are 20th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Guiseley AFC are 4th (among the top four) with 33. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ilkeston Town, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lancaster City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Guiseley AFC, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bradford (Park Avenue), at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Guiseley AFC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for Ilkeston Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ilkeston Town 1.1 xG, Guiseley AFC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ilkeston Town 21%, draw 22%, Guiseley AFC 58%.
Lower-risk option: Guiseley AFC or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guiseley AFC or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilkeston Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ilkeston Town21%fair 4.82 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.40
Guiseley AFC58%fair 1.74 · @1.83
3.05Expected goals
1.09Ilkeston Town xG
1.96Guiseley AFC xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Ilkeston Town 1.1 – 2.0 Guiseley AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guiseley AFC to win✓
58%
1.74
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Guiseley AFC or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Guiseley AFC (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Ilkeston Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Guiseley AFC to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Guiseley AFC ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Ilkeston Town – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Oct
@ Lancaster City
1–2
L
29 Sep
vs Rylands
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Anstey Nomads
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Workington
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Leamington
1–3
L
31 Aug
vs Quorn
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guiseley AFC – last 6
WLWWWD
3 Oct
vs Bradford (Park Avenue)
1–0
W
29 Sep
@ Alfreton Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Bamber Bridge
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Hebburn Town
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs Quorn
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Stockton Town
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilkeston Town and Guiseley AFC.
What is the prediction for Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Our pick is Guiseley AFC or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
On our numbers Ilkeston Town have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guiseley AFC 58%.
How many goals will there be in Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Our predicted score is Ilkeston Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
