Stockton Town 13%Draw 23%Bury 63%Expected goals 0.96 – 2.19
87%
Betarazi pick
Bury or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Bury to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBury to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceBury or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Stockton Town vs Bury: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bury travel to face Stockton Town on Tuesday 6 October in the Non League Premier Northern – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Stockton Town are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Bury are 7th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Stockton Town, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hyde United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Bury, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bromsgrove Sporting, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.8 a game lately.
Momentum favours Bury, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Stockton Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stockton Town 1.0 xG, Bury 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stockton Town 13%, draw 23%, Bury 63%.
Lower-risk option: Bury or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Bury to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bury or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stockton Town 0–2 Bury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stockton Town13%fair 7.48 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Bury63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
3.15Expected goals
0.96Stockton Town xG
2.19Bury xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Stockton Town 1.0 – 2.2 Bury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bury to win✗
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Bury or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Draw no bet
Bury (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Bury -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Bury to score first✗
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Bury ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bury / FT Bury✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Stockton Town – last 6
LLWDDL
3 Oct
@ Hyde United
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Rylands
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Bamber Bridge
5–2
W
12 Sep
@ Rylands
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Guiseley AFC
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Redcar Athletic
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bury – last 6
WDWWWL
3 Oct
vs Bromsgrove Sporting
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Gainsborough Trinity
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Workington
5–1
W
12 Sep
vs AFC Emley
4–0
W
5 Sep
vs Wythenshawe Amateurs
8–0
W
31 Aug
@ Hyde United
1–2
L
3.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stockton Town and Bury.
Our pick is Bury or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Stockton Town vs Bury?
On our numbers Stockton Town have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bury 63%.
How many goals will there be in Stockton Town vs Bury?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stockton Town vs Bury?
Our predicted score is Stockton Town 0–2 Bury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Stockton Town vs Bury?
Stockton Town vs Bury (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
