Ashton United 39%Draw 22%Alfreton Town 40%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.33
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlfreton Town to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.11
Ashton United vs Alfreton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alfreton Town travel to face Ashton United on Tuesday 13 October in the Non League Premier Northern – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Ashton United are 18th, lower half, on 17 points after 17 matches; Alfreton Town are 11th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Ashton United, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Leek Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Alfreton Town, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Bury, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alfreton Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Ashton United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ashton United 1.3 xG, Alfreton Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ashton United 39%, draw 22%, Alfreton Town 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ashton United 1–1 Alfreton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ashton United39%fair 2.59 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
Alfreton Town40%fair 2.53 · @2.50
2.63Expected goals
1.30Ashton United xG
1.33Alfreton Town xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ashton United 1.3 – 1.3 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alfreton Town to win✗
40%
2.53
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Draw no bet
Alfreton Town (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Ashton United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Alfreton Town to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alfreton Town / FT Alfreton Town✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.11
–
Recent results
Ashton United – last 6
DDDLLW
10 Oct
@ Leek Town
2–2
D
6 Oct
@ Quorn
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Warrington Town
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Buxton
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Cleethorpes Town
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Whitby Town
5–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alfreton Town – last 6
LWLWWL
10 Oct
vs Bury
2–3
L
6 Oct
vs United of Manchester
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Redcar Athletic
1–3
L
29 Sep
vs Guiseley AFC
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Shifnal Town FC
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bamber Bridge
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashton United and Alfreton Town.
What is the prediction for Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
On our numbers Ashton United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alfreton Town 40%.
How many goals will there be in Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
Our predicted score is Ashton United 1–1 Alfreton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
Ashton United vs Alfreton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
