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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gainsborough Trinity v Ilkeston Town: numbers & prediction

Gainsborough Trinity 70%Draw 17%Ilkeston Town 12% Expected goals 2.29 – 0.84
70%
Betarazi pick

Gainsborough Trinity to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓70% · @1.36
Double chanceGainsborough Trinity or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 13 October: Gainsborough Trinity v Ilkeston Town in the Non League Premier Northern. In the table, Gainsborough Trinity are 8th, upper half, on 29 points after 17 matches; Ilkeston Town are 20th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gainsborough Trinity, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AFC Emley, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Ilkeston Town, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Redcar Athletic, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Gainsborough Trinity, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Ilkeston Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gainsborough Trinity 2.3 xG, Ilkeston Town 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gainsborough Trinity 70%, draw 17%, Ilkeston Town 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gainsborough Trinity to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gainsborough Trinity 2–0 Ilkeston Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gainsborough Trinity70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @4.40
Ilkeston Town12%fair 8.16 · @6.50
3.13Expected goals
2.29Gainsborough Trinity xG
0.84Ilkeston Town xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Gainsborough Trinity 2.3 – 0.8 Ilkeston Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓70%1.421.36
Double chanceGainsborough Trinity or draw ✓88%1.141.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.73
Draw no betGainsborough Trinity (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapGainsborough Trinity -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreGainsborough Trinity to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultGainsborough Trinity ahead at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.40–

Recent results

Gainsborough Trinity – last 6

WWLDWD
10 Oct@ AFC Emley2–1W
6 Oct@ Whitby Town6–2W
3 Octvs Anstey Nomads2–3L
26 Sep@ Bury3–3D
22 Sepvs Leamington3–0W
19 Sep@ Leamington1–1D
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Ilkeston Town – last 6

LLLLLL
10 Octvs Redcar Athletic0–5L
6 Octvs Guiseley AFC0–2L
3 Oct@ Lancaster City1–2L
29 Sepvs Rylands0–1L
26 Sepvs Anstey Nomads1–3L
12 Sep@ Workington1–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gainsborough Trinity and Ilkeston Town.

Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?

Our pick is Gainsborough Trinity to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?

On our numbers Gainsborough Trinity have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ilkeston Town 12%.

How many goals will there be in Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?

Our predicted score is Gainsborough Trinity 2–0 Ilkeston Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?

Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.