Stourbridge 62%Draw 17%Leighton Town 21%Expected goals 1.92 – 0.97
62%
Betarazi pick
Stourbridge to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultStourbridge to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 15.15
Stourbridge vs Leighton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leighton Town travel to face Stourbridge on Saturday 10 October in the Non League Premier Southern Central – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stourbridge are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Leighton Town are 21st (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Stourbridge, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Racing Club Warwick, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Leighton Town, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Peterborough Sports, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stourbridge, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Leighton Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stourbridge 1.9 xG, Leighton Town 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stourbridge 62%, draw 17%, Leighton Town 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Stourbridge to win (62%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stourbridge 1–0 Leighton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stourbridge62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @3.60
Leighton Town21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.92Stourbridge xG
0.97Leighton Town xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Stourbridge 1.9 – 1.0 Leighton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stourbridge to win✓
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Stourbridge (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Leighton Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Stourbridge to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Stourbridge ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stourbridge / FT Stourbridge✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
15.15
–
Recent results
Stourbridge – last 6
LDWLDL
3 Oct
vs Racing Club Warwick
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Alvechurch
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Rushall Olympic
3–1
W
22 Sep
vs Real Bedford
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Hitchin Town
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Leamington
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leighton Town – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Oct
vs Peterborough Sports
2–4
L
29 Sep
@ Hitchin Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Newmarket
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Halesowen Town
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs Gorleston
1–4
L
31 Aug
@ Real Bedford
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stourbridge and Leighton Town.
What is the prediction for Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
Our pick is Stourbridge to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
On our numbers Stourbridge have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Leighton Town 21%.
How many goals will there be in Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
Our predicted score is Stourbridge 1–0 Leighton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
Stourbridge vs Leighton Town (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
