Value bet: Alvechurch to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAlvechurch to win40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.36
Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alvechurch welcome Bromsgrove Sporting for a Non League Premier Southern Central fixture on Tuesday 20 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Alvechurch are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 15 matches; Bromsgrove Sporting are 2nd (among the top four) with 37.
Current form
Alvechurch, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Spalding United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Bromsgrove Sporting, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Banbury United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bromsgrove Sporting, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Alvechurch.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Bromsgrove Sporting 1–4 Alvechurch.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alvechurch 1.2 xG, Bromsgrove Sporting 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alvechurch 40%, draw 23%, Bromsgrove Sporting 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Alvechurch to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvechurch 1–1 Bromsgrove Sporting. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alvechurch40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Bromsgrove Sporting37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
2.43Expected goals
1.25Alvechurch xG
1.18Bromsgrove Sporting xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alvechurch 1.2 – 1.2 Bromsgrove Sporting expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
On our numbers Alvechurch have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bromsgrove Sporting 37%.
How many goals will there be in Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
Our predicted score is Alvechurch 1–1 Bromsgrove Sporting, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
