Real Bedford 61%Draw 22%Bury Town 17%Expected goals 2.27 – 1.16
83%
Betarazi pick
Real Bedford or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Bedford to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceReal Bedford or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Real Bedford vs Bury Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bury Town travel to face Real Bedford on Tuesday 20 October in the Non League Premier Southern Central – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Real Bedford are 1st, leading the league, on 41 points after 18 matches; Bury Town are 3rd (among the top four) with 36.
Current form
Real Bedford, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Stamford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Bury Town, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Stourbridge, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Bedford 2.3 xG, Bury Town 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Bedford 61%, draw 22%, Bury Town 17%.
Lower-risk option: Real Bedford or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Bedford or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Bedford 2–1 Bury Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Bedford61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.50
Bury Town17%fair 5.86 · @4.00
3.43Expected goals
2.27Real Bedford xG
1.16Bury Town xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Real Bedford 2.3 – 1.2 Bury Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Bedford to win✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Double chance
Real Bedford or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Draw no bet
Real Bedford (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Real Bedford -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Real Bedford to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Real Bedford ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Bedford / FT Real Bedford✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Real Bedford – last 6
WDLWLW
17 Oct
@ Stamford
4–0
W
10 Oct
vs Bromsgrove Sporting
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Chesham United
3–4
L
29 Sep
vs Leiston
3–2
W
26 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
0–3
L
22 Sep
@ Stourbridge
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bury Town – last 6
WLWLDW
17 Oct
vs Stourbridge
2–0
W
13 Oct
vs Needham Market
0–5
L
10 Oct
@ Alvechurch
1–0
W
6 Oct
@ Spalding United
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Spalding United
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Bishop's Stortford
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Bedford and Bury Town.
What is the prediction for Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
Our pick is Real Bedford or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
On our numbers Real Bedford have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bury Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
Our predicted score is Real Bedford 2–1 Bury Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
Real Bedford vs Bury Town (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
