Mafra vs Vitória de Sernache: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mafra welcome Vitória de Sernache to Estadio Municipal de Mafra for a Liga 3 fixture on Saturday 8 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, Mafra are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Vitória de Sernache are 8th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Mafra, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alverca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Vitória de Sernache, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leça, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mafra, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Vitória de Sernache.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mafra 1.7 xG, Vitória de Sernache 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mafra 57%, draw 24%, Vitória de Sernache 19%.
Lower-risk option: Mafra or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mafra 1–1 Vitória de Sernache. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mafra57%fair 1.76 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Vitória de Sernache19%fair 5.20 · @4.20
2.69Expected goals
1.73Mafra xG
0.96Vitória de Sernache xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Mafra 1.7 – 1.0 Vitória de Sernache expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Double chance
Mafra or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Mafra (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Vitória de Sernache +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Mafra to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Mafra – last 6
WLWWLW
25 Jul
vs Alverca
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ FC Fredericia
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Esbjerg
2–0
W
3 May
@ Guimaraes B
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Amarante
1–4
L
11 Apr
@ Varzim
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
DDDDWL
10 Jun
@ Leça
1–1
D
31 May
vs Louletano
1–1
D
17 May
vs Oliveira Hospital
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Peniche
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Oliveira Hospital
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mafra and Vitória de Sernache.
What is the prediction for Mafra vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mafra vs Vitória de Sernache?
On our numbers Mafra have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vitória de Sernache 19%.
How many goals will there be in Mafra vs Vitória de Sernache?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mafra vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our predicted score is Mafra 1–1 Vitória de Sernache, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mafra vs Vitória de Sernache?
Mafra vs Vitória de Sernache (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
