Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓60% · @1.60
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 8 August: CF Os Belenenses v Caldas in the Liga 3. In the table, CF Os Belenenses are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 9 matches; Caldas are 7th (upper half) with 11.
Current form
CF Os Belenenses, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Estoril, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Caldas, last 4: DDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Academica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Os Belenenses 1.9 xG, Caldas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Os Belenenses 60%, draw 22%, Caldas 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Os Belenenses 2–0 Caldas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Os Belenenses60%fair 1.67 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.50
Caldas18%fair 5.56 · @5.40
2.85Expected goals
1.92CF Os Belenenses xG
0.93Caldas xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 1.9 – 0.9 Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Double chance
CF Os Belenenses or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
CF Os Belenenses (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
CF Os Belenenses -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
CF Os Belenenses to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
CF Os Belenenses ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
CF Os Belenenses – last 6
DLLDDW
31 Jul
vs Estoril
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Benfica
1–5
L
17 Jul
@ Alverca
1–2
L
30 May
vs Farense
0–0
D
2 May
vs União Santarém
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Trofense
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Caldas – last 4
DDLW
1 Aug
vs Academica
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ SC Covilha
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs 1º Dezembro
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Os Belenenses and Caldas.
What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Caldas 18%.
How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 2–0 Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
