AD Marco 09 16%Draw 25%Paredes 59%Expected goals 0.73 – 1.66
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Paredes to win @ 1.79 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultParedes to win ✓59% · @1.79
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
AD Marco 09 vs Paredes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paredes travel to face AD Marco 09 on Saturday 7 November in the Liga 3 – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, AD Marco 09 are 3rd, among the top four, on 14 points after 9 matches; Paredes are 1st (leading the league) with 22.
Current form
AD Marco 09, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Trofense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Paredes, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over São João Ver, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Paredes, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for AD Marco 09.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended AD Marco 09 0–2 Paredes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Marco 09 0.7 xG, Paredes 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Marco 09 16%, draw 25%, Paredes 59%.
Lower-risk option: Paredes or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Paredes to win @1.79 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Marco 09 0–2 Paredes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Marco 0916%fair 6.36 · @4.15
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Paredes59%fair 1.69 · @1.79
2.38Expected goals
0.73AD Marco 09 xG
1.66Paredes xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: AD Marco 09 0.7 – 1.7 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?
On our numbers AD Marco 09 have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paredes 59%.
How many goals will there be in AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?
Our predicted score is AD Marco 09 0–2 Paredes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?
AD Marco 09 vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
