Value bet: Caldas to win @ 2.74 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaldas to win ✗39% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Caldas vs Oliveirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Caldas welcome Oliveirense to Campo da Mata for a Liga 3 fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Caldas are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Oliveirense are 3rd (among the top four) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Caldas, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SC Covilha, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Oliveirense, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CF Os Belenenses, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Caldas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Oliveirense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caldas 1.3 xG, Oliveirense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caldas 39%, draw 23%, Oliveirense 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.69.
Price worth noting: Caldas to win @2.74 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldas 1–1 Oliveirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caldas39%fair 2.57 · @2.74
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.05
Oliveirense38%fair 2.62 · @2.33
2.64Expected goals
1.33Caldas xG
1.31Oliveirense xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Caldas 1.3 – 1.3 Oliveirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldas to win✗
39%
2.57
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.69
Draw no bet
Caldas (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Oliveirense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.76
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Caldas to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caldas / FT Caldas✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Caldas – last 6
WDLWWL
1 Nov
@ SC Covilha
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Mafra
3–3
D
11 Oct
@ Atlético CP
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Vitória de Sernache
2–0
W
4 Sep
@ União Santarém
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sintrense
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oliveirense – last 6
LDDLWL
31 Oct
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ SC Covilha
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Penafiel
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Mafra
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético CP
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldas and Oliveirense.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Caldas vs Oliveirense?
On our numbers Caldas have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oliveirense 38%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Oliveirense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Oliveirense?
Our predicted score is Caldas 1–1 Oliveirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs Oliveirense?
Caldas vs Oliveirense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
