Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultFigueirense to win ✓64% · @1.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.64
Figueirense vs Nação: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Figueirense v Nação in the Copa Santa Catarina.
Current form
Figueirense, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Nação, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Santa Catarina, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Figueirense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Nação.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Figueirense 1.8 xG, Nação 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Figueirense 64%, draw 17%, Nação 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Figueirense to win (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Figueirense 1–0 Nação. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Figueirense64%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @4.50
Nação18%fair 5.46 · @5.50
2.64Expected goals
1.84Figueirense xG
0.80Nação xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Figueirense 1.8 – 0.8 Nação expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Figueirense to win✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Figueirense (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Figueirense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Figueirense to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Figueirense ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Figueirense / FT Figueirense✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.64
–
Recent results
Figueirense – last 6
DWDWDW
5 Sep
vs Barra
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Caxias
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Ferroviária
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nação – last 6
DLWDWL
6 Sep
vs Santa Catarina
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Hercílio Luz
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Blumenau
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Caravaggio
2–2
D
15 Jul
@ Jaraguá
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Fluminense-SC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Figueirense and Nação.
Our pick is Figueirense to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Figueirense vs Nação?
On our numbers Figueirense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Nação 18%.
How many goals will there be in Figueirense vs Nação?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Figueirense vs Nação?
Our predicted score is Figueirense 1–0 Nação, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Figueirense vs Nação?
Figueirense vs Nação (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Joinville1
Hercílio Luz3