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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lamphun Warrior v Bangkok United: numbers & prediction

Thai League 1 · Thailand · Lamphun PAO
0–2
FT
Lamphun Warrior 21%Draw 23%Bangkok United 55% Expected goals 1.25 – 2.08
79%
Betarazi pick

Bangkok United or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBangkok United to win ✓55% · @1.85
Double chanceBangkok United or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bangkok United travel to face Lamphun Warrior on Sunday 11 October in the Thai League 1, with Lamphun PAO the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Lamphun Warrior are 9th, lower half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Bangkok United are 2nd (among the top four) with 16.

Current form

Lamphun Warrior, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rasi Salai United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Bangkok United, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over BG Pathum United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Bangkok United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Lamphun Warrior.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Lamphun Warrior 1–1 Bangkok United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lamphun Warrior 0 wins, Bangkok United 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lamphun Warrior 1.2 xG, Bangkok United 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lamphun Warrior 21%, draw 23%, Bangkok United 55%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bangkok United or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bangkok United or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lamphun Warrior 1–2 Bangkok United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lamphun Warrior21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Bangkok United55%fair 1.80 · @1.85
3.33Expected goals
1.25Lamphun Warrior xG
2.08Bangkok United xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%

From our goals model: Lamphun Warrior 1.2 – 2.1 Bangkok United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBangkok United to win ✓55%1.801.85
Double chanceBangkok United or draw ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.73 ▲
Draw no betBangkok United (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapLamphun Warrior +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
First team to scoreBangkok United to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultBangkok United ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bangkok United / FT Bangkok United ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Lamphun Warrior – last 6

DLLLDD
19 Sep@ Rasi Salai United1–1D
11 Sep@ Port FC1–2L
6 Sepvs Uthai Thani1–4L
17 May@ Prachuap0–1L
10 May@ Buriram United1–1D
3 Mayvs Chiangrai United0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bangkok United – last 6

WLWDWD
20 Sepvs BG Pathum United3–2W
11 Sep@ Ratchaburi0–1L
5 Sepvs Sisaket United3–1W
10 May@ Rayong FC1–1D
2 Mayvs Ayutthaya FC4–1W
29 Apr@ Uthai Thani1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Lamphun Warrior v Bangkok United1–1
25 Feb 2026Lamphun Warrior v Bangkok United1–1
Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United head-to-head page →

Thai League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port FC7511+716
2Bangkok United8512+716
3Ayutthaya FC8512+616
4Prachuap7511+616
5Buriram United7511+516
6Ratchaburi8413+813
7BG Pathum United8332+412
8Uthai Thani8323+211
9Lamphun Warrior8323+211
10Sisaket United8314-410
11Sukhothai FC8314-610
12Rayong FC8224-98
13Chonburi FC8215-37
14Pattani8215-67
15Chiangrai United7124-45
16Rasi Salai United8017-151

More Thai League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?

Our pick is Bangkok United or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?

On our numbers Lamphun Warrior have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bangkok United 55%.

How many goals will there be in Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?

Our predicted score is Lamphun Warrior 1–2 Bangkok United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?

Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamphun PAO.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.