Prachuap 63%Draw 23%Chiangrai United 14%Expected goals 1.19 – 0.31
86%
Betarazi pick
Prachuap or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Prachuap to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPrachuap to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chancePrachuap or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.77
Prachuap vs Chiangrai United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Prachuap welcome Chiangrai United to Prachuap Khiri Khan Province Stadium for a Thai League 1 fixture on Sunday 11 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Prachuap are 4th, among the top four, on 16 points after 7 matches; Chiangrai United are 15th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Prachuap, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pattani, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Chiangrai United, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sisaket United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Chiangrai United 0–1 Prachuap.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Prachuap 1.2 xG, Chiangrai United 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Prachuap 63%, draw 23%, Chiangrai United 14%.
Lower-risk option: Prachuap or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Prachuap to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Prachuap or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Prachuap 1–0 Chiangrai United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Prachuap63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.25
Chiangrai United14%fair 7.18 · @4.20
1.50Expected goals
1.19Prachuap xG
0.31Chiangrai United xG
42%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Prachuap 1.2 – 0.3 Chiangrai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
Our pick is Prachuap or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
On our numbers Prachuap have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chiangrai United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
Our predicted score is Prachuap 1–0 Chiangrai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
Prachuap vs Chiangrai United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Prachuap Khiri Khan Province Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.