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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Prachuap v Chiangrai United: numbers & prediction

Thai League 1 · Thailand · Prachuap Khiri Khan Province Stadium
2–1
FT
Prachuap 63%Draw 23%Chiangrai United 14% Expected goals 1.19 – 0.31
86%
Betarazi pick

Prachuap or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Prachuap to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPrachuap to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chancePrachuap or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.77

Prachuap vs Chiangrai United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Prachuap welcome Chiangrai United to Prachuap Khiri Khan Province Stadium for a Thai League 1 fixture on Sunday 11 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Prachuap are 4th, among the top four, on 16 points after 7 matches; Chiangrai United are 15th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

Prachuap, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pattani, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Chiangrai United, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sisaket United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Chiangrai United 0–1 Prachuap.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Prachuap 1.2 xG, Chiangrai United 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Prachuap 63%, draw 23%, Chiangrai United 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Prachuap or draw (86%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Prachuap to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Prachuap or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Prachuap 1–0 Chiangrai United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Prachuap63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.25
Chiangrai United14%fair 7.18 · @4.20
1.50Expected goals
1.19Prachuap xG
0.31Chiangrai United xG
42%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Prachuap 1.2 – 0.3 Chiangrai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPrachuap to win ✓63%1.581.73 ▲
Double chancePrachuap or draw ✓86%1.161.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.731.85 ▲
Draw no betPrachuap (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapChiangrai United +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scorePrachuap to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓55%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Prachuap / FT Prachuap ✗34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27%3.77–

Recent results

Prachuap – last 6

WWLDWL
19 Sep@ Pattani3–0W
13 Sepvs Sukhothai FC1–0W
5 Sep@ Rayong FC0–1L
31 May@ Buriram United0–0D
17 Mayvs Lamphun Warrior1–0W
10 May@ BG Pathum United0–3L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chiangrai United – last 6

LDWWDW
19 Sepvs Sisaket United0–1L
11 Sep@ Buriram United1–1D
5 Sepvs Chonburi FC1–0W
10 Mayvs Uthai Thani1–0W
3 May@ Lamphun Warrior0–0D
29 Aprvs Ratchaburi1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Feb 2026Chiangrai United v Prachuap0–1
Prachuap vs Chiangrai United head-to-head page →

Thai League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port FC7511+716
2Bangkok United8512+716
3Ayutthaya FC8512+616
4Prachuap7511+616
5Buriram United7511+516
6Ratchaburi8413+813
7BG Pathum United8332+412
8Uthai Thani8323+211
9Lamphun Warrior8323+211
10Sisaket United8314-410
11Sukhothai FC8314-610
12Rayong FC8224-98
13Chonburi FC8215-37
14Pattani8215-67
15Chiangrai United7124-45
16Rasi Salai United8017-151

More Thai League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?

Our pick is Prachuap or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?

On our numbers Prachuap have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chiangrai United 14%.

How many goals will there be in Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?

Our predicted score is Prachuap 1–0 Chiangrai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?

Prachuap vs Chiangrai United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Prachuap Khiri Khan Province Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.