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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Swansea v Udinese: numbers & prediction

Swansea

LDWWD
2–0
FT

Udinese

LLDDW
Swansea 26%Draw 25%Udinese 50% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.61
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUdinese to win ✗50% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83

Swansea vs Udinese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Swansea welcome Udinese for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 24 July (12:00 WAT).

Current form

Swansea, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to VfL Bochum, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Udinese, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Napoli, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Swansea 1.3 xG, Udinese 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Swansea 26%, draw 25%, Udinese 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swansea 1–1 Udinese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Swansea26%fair 3.91 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.75
Udinese50%fair 2.02 · @1.81
2.88Expected goals
1.27Swansea xG
1.61Udinese xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Swansea 1.3 – 1.6 Udinese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SwanseaUdinese
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-12%-13%
Goals conceded vs average-5%-14%
Our expected goals here1.311.34

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUdinese to win ✗50%2.021.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.73 ▲
Draw no betUdinese (draw no bet) ✗66%1.52–
Asian handicapSwansea +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.201.12
First team to scoreUdinese to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Udinese / FT Udinese ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.83–

Recent results

Swansea – last 6

LDWWDD
21 Julvs VfL Bochum0–2L
18 Julvs Holstein Kiel2–2D
2 Mayvs Charlton3–1W
21 Apr@ QPR2–1W
6 Aprvs Middlesbrough2–2D
3 Apr@ Sheffield Utd3–3D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Udinese – last 6

LLDDWW
24 May@ Napoli0–1L
17 Mayvs Cremonese0–1L
27 Apr@ Lazio3–3D
6 Aprvs Como0–0D
20 Mar@ Genoa2–0W
2 Marvs Fiorentina3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Udinese.

Swansea vs Udinese head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Swansea vs Udinese?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Swansea vs Udinese?

On our numbers Swansea have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Udinese 50%.

How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Udinese?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Udinese?

Our predicted score is Swansea 1–1 Udinese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Swansea vs Udinese?

Swansea vs Udinese (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.