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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atalanta v Athletic Club: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Atalanta

WLDLL
1–0
FT

Athletic Club

LWWDW
Atalanta 42%Draw 21%Athletic Club 37% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.68
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 3.35 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtalanta to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90

Atalanta vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atalanta welcome Athletic Club for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 14 August (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Atalanta, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Schalke 04, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Athletic Club, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Marseille, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Athletic Club, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Atalanta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atalanta 1.8 xG, Athletic Club 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atalanta 42%, draw 21%, Athletic Club 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Athletic Club to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atalanta 1–1 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atalanta42%fair 2.36 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.65
Athletic Club37%fair 2.72 · @3.35
3.50Expected goals
1.82Atalanta xG
1.68Athletic Club xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%

From our goals model: Atalanta 1.8 – 1.7 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtalanta to win ✓42%2.362.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.60
Draw no betAtalanta (draw no bet) ✓54%1.87–
Asian handicapAthletic Club +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.221.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.291.15
First team to scoreAtalanta to score first ✓50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atalanta / FT Atalanta ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.90–

Recent results

Atalanta – last 6

WLDLLW
8 Aug@ FC Schalke 043–0W
2 Aug@ Feyenoord1–2L
22 May@ Fiorentina1–1D
17 Mayvs Bologna0–1L
27 Apr@ Cagliari2–3L
6 Apr@ Lecce3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Athletic Club – last 6

LWWDWW
9 Aug@ Marseille1–3L
1 Aug@ Burgos3–0W
29 Jul@ Racing Santander3–0W
25 Julvs Eibar2–2D
22 Jul@ Sestao River2–0W
18 Jul@ Leioa11–0W
3.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Athletic Club.

Atalanta vs Athletic Club head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Karlovac 19192 Trnje2 161%1.75X22%3.80217%3.80 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Intercity0 Levante II1 155%1.91X21%3.60224%3.20 1.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.70 ✗
FT Marseille1 Atletico Madrid2 139%2.86X21%3.70240%2.22 1.7–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.48 ✓
FT UD Logroñés1 Zaragoza2 121%3.60X17%3.60262%1.80 0.8–1.7xG 2Zaragoza to win 62%@1.80 ✓
FT Reddis2 Saguntino1 164%1.70X24%3.25212%4.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Reddis to win 64%@1.70 ✓
FT Coventry2 Monaco0 143%2.28X20%3.85237%2.68 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.42 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Athletic Club?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Atalanta vs Athletic Club?

On our numbers Atalanta have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Athletic Club 37%.

How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Athletic Club?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Athletic Club?

Our predicted score is Atalanta 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Atalanta vs Athletic Club?

Atalanta vs Athletic Club (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.