Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 52% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +65%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓52% · @3.20
Double chancePenafiel U23 or draw ✓77% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✓7% · fair 14.15
Penafiel U23 vs Marítimo U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penafiel U23 welcome Marítimo U23 for a Liga Revelação U23 fixture on Tuesday 18 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Penafiel U23 are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Marítimo U23 are 20th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Marítimo U23, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estrela U23, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penafiel U23 1.8 xG, Marítimo U23 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penafiel U23 25%, draw 52%, Marítimo U23 23%.
Lower-risk option: Penafiel U23 or draw (77%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Penafiel U23 or draw (77%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penafiel U23 1–1 Marítimo U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penafiel U2325%fair 3.99 · @2.40
Draw52%fair 1.94 · @3.20
Marítimo U2323%fair 4.30 · @2.60
3.49Expected goals
1.77Penafiel U23 xG
1.72Marítimo U23 xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Penafiel U23 1.8 – 1.7 Marítimo U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
52%
1.94
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Penafiel U23 or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Penafiel U23 (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Marítimo U23 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Penafiel U23 to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penafiel U23 / FT Penafiel U23✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✓
7%
14.15
–
Recent results
Penafiel U23 – last 1
D
11 Aug
@ Portimonense U23
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Marítimo U23 – last 6
WLLLDW
28 Apr
vs Estrela U23
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Gil Vicente U23
0–2
L
14 Apr
vs Farense U23
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Rio Ave U23
1–3
L
1 Apr
vs Vizela U23
2–2
D
18 Mar
@ União Leiria U23
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penafiel U23 and Marítimo U23.
What is the prediction for Penafiel U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Our pick is Penafiel U23 or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Penafiel U23 vs Marítimo U23?
On our numbers Penafiel U23 have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Marítimo U23 23%.
How many goals will there be in Penafiel U23 vs Marítimo U23?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penafiel U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Our predicted score is Penafiel U23 1–1 Marítimo U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Penafiel U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Penafiel U23 vs Marítimo U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
