Value bet: Leixões U23 to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeixões U23 to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceLeixões U23 or draw ✗86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Leixões U23 vs União Leiria U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União Leiria U23 travel to face Leixões U23 on Tuesday 25 August in the Liga Revelação U23 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Leixões U23 are 16th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; União Leiria U23 are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Leixões U23, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Estrela U23, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
União Leiria U23, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sporting CP U23, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leixões U23 1.9 xG, União Leiria U23 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leixões U23 66%, draw 20%, União Leiria U23 14%.
Lower-risk option: Leixões U23 or draw (86%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Leixões U23 to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leixões U23 2–0 União Leiria U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leixões U2366%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.65
União Leiria U2314%fair 7.02 · @4.40
2.62Expected goals
1.90Leixões U23 xG
0.73União Leiria U23 xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Leixões U23 1.9 – 0.7 União Leiria U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixões U23 to win✗
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Leixões U23 or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Draw no bet
Leixões U23 (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Leixões U23 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Leixões U23 to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Leixões U23 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixões U23 / FT Leixões U23✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Leixões U23 – last 6
WWDWLD
18 Aug
@ Estrela U23
3–0
W
11 May
@ Torreense U23
2–0
W
28 Apr
@ Academico Viseu U23
0–0
D
21 Apr
vs Santa Clara U23
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Benfica U23
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Torreense U23
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
União Leiria U23 – last 6
DWWWDL
11 Aug
@ Sporting CP U23
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Rio Ave U23
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Vizela U23
3–0
W
8 Apr
vs Portimonense U23
4–2
W
24 Mar
vs Farense U23
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Marítimo U23
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leixões U23 and União Leiria U23.
What is the prediction for Leixões U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leixões U23 vs União Leiria U23?
On our numbers Leixões U23 have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and União Leiria U23 14%.
How many goals will there be in Leixões U23 vs União Leiria U23?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leixões U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our predicted score is Leixões U23 2–0 União Leiria U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Leixões U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Leixões U23 vs União Leiria U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
