Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 57% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBenfica U23 to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.27
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Benfica U23 travel to face Sporting CP U23 on Tuesday 25 August in the Liga Revelação U23 – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting CP U23 are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 11 matches; Benfica U23 are 11th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Sporting CP U23, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vizela U23, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Benfica U23, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rio Ave U23, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Sporting CP U23 2–1 Benfica U23. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sporting CP U23 1 win, Benfica U23 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP U23 0.9 xG, Benfica U23 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP U23 35%, draw 21%, Benfica U23 44%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP U23 0–1 Benfica U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP U2335%fair 2.82 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
Benfica U2344%fair 2.30 · @2.10
1.93Expected goals
0.89Sporting CP U23 xG
1.04Benfica U23 xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sporting CP U23 0.9 – 1.0 Benfica U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
On our numbers Sporting CP U23 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Benfica U23 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP U23 0–1 Benfica U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
