Value bet: Sporting CP U23 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP U23 to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceSporting CP U23 or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.57
Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 1 September the Liga Revelação U23 brings Estrela U23 against Sporting CP U23. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Estrela U23 are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 11 matches; Sporting CP U23 are 1st (leading the league) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estrela U23, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Marítimo U23, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Sporting CP U23, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Benfica U23, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sporting CP U23, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Estrela U23.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrela U23 0.7 xG, Sporting CP U23 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrela U23 14%, draw 24%, Sporting CP U23 62%.
Lower-risk option: Sporting CP U23 or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Sporting CP U23 to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrela U23 0–1 Sporting CP U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrela U2314%fair 6.91 · @3.85
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
Sporting CP U2362%fair 1.62 · @1.80
2.54Expected goals
0.75Estrela U23 xG
1.79Sporting CP U23 xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Estrela U23 0.7 – 1.8 Sporting CP U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP U23 to win✓
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Sporting CP U23 or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Draw no bet
Sporting CP U23 (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP U23 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Sporting CP U23 to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP U23 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP U23 / FT Sporting CP U23✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Estrela U23 – last 6
DLLLLL
25 Aug
@ Marítimo U23
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Leixões U23
0–3
L
10 Aug
@ Academico Viseu U23
0–3
L
28 Apr
@ Marítimo U23
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ Gil Vicente U23
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Farense U23
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting CP U23 – last 6
WWDLLW
25 Aug
vs Benfica U23
4–1
W
18 Aug
@ Vizela U23
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs União Leiria U23
1–1
D
6 May
@ Gil Vicente U23
1–2
L
28 Apr
@ Santa Clara U23
1–3
L
24 Apr
vs Benfica U23
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela U23 and Sporting CP U23.
What is the prediction for Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?
On our numbers Estrela U23 have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sporting CP U23 62%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?
Our predicted score is Estrela U23 0–1 Sporting CP U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?
Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
