Value bet: União Leiria U23 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnião Leiria U23 to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
União Leiria U23 vs Marítimo U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: União Leiria U23 v Marítimo U23 in the Liga Revelação U23. In the table, União Leiria U23 are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Marítimo U23 are 20th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
União Leiria U23, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leixões U23, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Marítimo U23, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Estrela U23, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours União Leiria U23, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Marítimo U23.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended União Leiria U23 1–2 Marítimo U23.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União Leiria U23 1.7 xG, Marítimo U23 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União Leiria U23 62%, draw 15%, Marítimo U23 23%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: União Leiria U23 to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Leiria U23 1–0 Marítimo U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União Leiria U2362%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.55 · @3.40
Marítimo U2323%fair 4.42 · @3.35
2.46Expected goals
1.66União Leiria U23 xG
0.81Marítimo U23 xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: União Leiria U23 1.7 – 0.8 Marítimo U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for União Leiria U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win União Leiria U23 vs Marítimo U23?
On our numbers União Leiria U23 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Marítimo U23 23%.
How many goals will there be in União Leiria U23 vs Marítimo U23?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Leiria U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Our predicted score is União Leiria U23 1–0 Marítimo U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is União Leiria U23 vs Marítimo U23?
União Leiria U23 vs Marítimo U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
