Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Moreirense U23 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMoreirense U23 to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceMoreirense U23 or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Tuesday 13 October: Moreirense U23 v Santa Clara U23 in the Liga Revelação U23. In the table, Moreirense U23 are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Santa Clara U23 are 18th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Moreirense U23, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rio Ave U23, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Santa Clara U23, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with União Leiria U23, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreirense U23 1.6 xG, Santa Clara U23 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreirense U23 61%, draw 24%, Santa Clara U23 15%.
Lower-risk option: Moreirense U23 or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Moreirense U23 to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Moreirense U23 or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreirense U23 1–0 Santa Clara U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreirense U2361%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
Santa Clara U2315%fair 6.81 · @3.50
2.25Expected goals
1.61Moreirense U23 xG
0.64Santa Clara U23 xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Moreirense U23 1.6 – 0.6 Santa Clara U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreirense U23 to win✓
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Moreirense U23 or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Draw no bet
Moreirense U23 (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Moreirense U23 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Moreirense U23 to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreirense U23 / FT Moreirense U23✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Moreirense U23 – last 6
DDDWDL
6 Oct
@ Rio Ave U23
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Estrela U23
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Sporting Braga U23
1–1
D
8 Sep
@ Academico Viseu U23
3–1
W
1 Sep
vs Portimonense U23
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Estoril U23
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santa Clara U23 – last 6
DDDWWL
6 Oct
@ União Leiria U23
1–1
D
29 Sep
vs Felgueiras U23
2–2
D
22 Sep
vs Portimonense U23
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Penafiel U23
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Farense U23
1–0
W
3 Jun
vs Gil Vicente U23
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense U23 and Santa Clara U23.
What is the prediction for Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
Our pick is Moreirense U23 or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
On our numbers Moreirense U23 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santa Clara U23 15%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
Our predicted score is Moreirense U23 1–0 Santa Clara U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
