Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultBenfica U23 to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 13 October the Liga Revelação U23 brings Penafiel U23 against Benfica U23. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Penafiel U23 are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Benfica U23 are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Penafiel U23, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rio Ave U23, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Benfica U23, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Marítimo U23, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Benfica U23, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Penafiel U23.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penafiel U23 1.2 xG, Benfica U23 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penafiel U23 31%, draw 21%, Benfica U23 47%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penafiel U23 1–1 Benfica U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penafiel U2331%fair 3.18 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Benfica U2347%fair 2.12 · @2.10
2.79Expected goals
1.22Penafiel U23 xG
1.57Benfica U23 xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Penafiel U23 1.2 – 1.6 Benfica U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica U23 to win✗
47%
2.12
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Draw no bet
Benfica U23 (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Penafiel U23 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Benfica U23 to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica U23 / FT Benfica U23✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Penafiel U23 – last 6
LDLDDD
29 Sep
@ Rio Ave U23
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Sporting CP U23
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Santa Clara U23
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Sporting Braga U23
3–3
D
1 Sep
vs Leixões U23
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Marítimo U23
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Benfica U23 – last 6
WWWLLL
25 Sep
@ Marítimo U23
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Torreense U23
3–0
W
14 Sep
@ União Leiria U23
2–1
W
9 Sep
vs Vizela U23
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Academico Viseu U23
1–2
L
25 Aug
@ Sporting CP U23
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penafiel U23 and Benfica U23.
What is the prediction for Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23?
On our numbers Penafiel U23 have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Benfica U23 47%.
How many goals will there be in Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23?
Our predicted score is Penafiel U23 1–1 Benfica U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23?
Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
