Bohemians vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the FAI Cup brings Bohemians against Longford Town at Dalymount Park. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Bohemians, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Midtjylland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Longford Town, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Athlone Town, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Longford Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Bohemians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bohemians 5.3 xG, Longford Town 2.7 xG – a total near 8.0. That is an open game on paper: 99% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bohemians 75%, draw 16%, Longford Town 9%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bohemians 7–2 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bohemians75%fair 1.34 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.37 · @5.50
Longford Town9%fair 10.57 · @12.00
8.00Expected goals
5.34Bohemians xG
2.66Longford Town xG
69%Both score
99%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
7–27%
7–36%
7–15%
5–24%
7–44%
4–24%
From our goals model: Bohemians 5.3 – 2.7 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bohemians to win✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Double chance
Bohemians or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Bohemians (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Bohemians -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Bohemians to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Bohemians ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bohemians / FT Bohemians✓
57%
1.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 7–2✗
7%
13.98
–
Recent results
Bohemians – last 6
LLLDLW
13 Aug
@ FC Midtjylland
2–3
L
9 Aug
@ Waterford
1–3
L
6 Aug
vs FC Midtjylland
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Galway United
1–1
D
30 Jul
@ Ballkani
2–3
L
22 Jul
vs Ballkani
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Longford Town – last 6
LWWLWW
7 Aug
@ Athlone Town
1–2
L
3 Aug
vs Finn Harps
5–0
W
31 Jul
@ Treaty United
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Wexford
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Baldoyle United
8–0
W
10 Jul
@ Cork City
4–3
W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bohemians and Longford Town.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Bohemians vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Longford Town 9%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Longford Town?
We expect about 8.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 99% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 7–2 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 8.0 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Longford Town?
Bohemians vs Longford Town (FAI Cup) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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