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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St Patrick's Athl. v Shamrock Rovers: numbers & prediction

FAI Cup · Ireland · Richmond Park

St Patrick's Athl.

WDDWW
2–2
FTAET 3–2

Shamrock Rovers

LWWDW
St Patrick's Athl. 37%Draw 23%Shamrock Rovers 40% Expected goals 1.96 – 2.04
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.37

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 16 August the FAI Cup brings St Patrick's Athl. against Shamrock Rovers at Richmond Park. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shelbourne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Shamrock Rovers, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Egnatia Rrogozhinë, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Shamrock Rovers 1–0 St Patrick's Athl.. The last 3 head-to-heads: St Patrick's Athl. 0 wins, Shamrock Rovers 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.3 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 2.0 xG, Shamrock Rovers 2.0 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 70%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 37%, draw 23%, Shamrock Rovers 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Shamrock Rovers to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 1–2 Shamrock Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St Patrick's Athl.37%fair 2.70 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Shamrock Rovers40%fair 2.48 · @2.90
4.00Expected goals
1.96St Patrick's Athl. xG
2.04Shamrock Rovers xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–27%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 2.0 – 2.0 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShamrock Rovers to win ✗40%2.482.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.431.50 ▲
Draw no betShamrock Rovers (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapSt Patrick's Athl. +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreShamrock Rovers to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultShamrock Rovers ahead at half-time ✓34%2.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.37–

Recent results

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

WDDWWD
9 Aug@ Shelbourne2–1W
2 Augvs Derry City1–1D
24 Julvs Dundalk1–1D
17 Julvs Wexford2–1W
14 Jul@ Doncaster4–2W
10 Jul@ Waterford1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Shamrock Rovers – last 6

LWWDWL
13 Aug@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–5L
7 Augvs Dundalk3–2W
4 Augvs Egnatia Rrogozhinë3–1W
31 Jul@ Drogheda United0–0D
28 Julvs Ararat-Armenia2–1W
21 Jul@ Ararat-Armenia0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 May 2026Shamrock Rovers v St Patrick's Athl.1–0
10 Apr 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Shamrock Rovers0–1
20 Feb 2026Shamrock Rovers v St Patrick's Athl.2–0
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers head-to-head page →

More FAI Cup predictions

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FT Bohemians4 Longford Town0 175%1.20X16%5.5029%12.00 5.3–2.7xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.91 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?

On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shamrock Rovers 40%.

How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–2 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers (FAI Cup) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.