Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Castlebar Celtic travel to face Dundalk on Saturday 15 August in the FAI Cup, with Oriel Park the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Dundalk, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 2.1 xG, Castlebar Celtic 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 76%, draw 12%, Castlebar Celtic 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 2–0 Castlebar Celtic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundalk76%fair 1.32 · @1.08
Draw12%fair 8.33 · @11.00
Castlebar Celtic12%fair 8.13 · @14.00
2.67Expected goals
2.09Dundalk xG
0.58Castlebar Celtic xG
43%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dundalk 2.1 – 0.6 Castlebar Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundalk to win✓
76%
1.32
1.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Dundalk (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Dundalk -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Dundalk to score first✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Dundalk ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundalk / FT Dundalk✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.64
–
Recent results
Dundalk – last 6
LDDWLL
7 Aug
@ Shamrock Rovers
2–3
L
31 Jul
vs Sligo Rovers
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ St Mochta's
3–1
W
10 Jul
vs Drogheda United
1–2
L
3 Jul
@ Shelbourne
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Castlebar Celtic – last 1
W
18 Jul
@ Douglas Hall
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundalk and Castlebar Celtic.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance.
Who will win Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Castlebar Celtic 12%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 2–0 Castlebar Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic (FAI Cup) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
College Corinthians0
Drogheda United3
Sligo Rovers4
Kerry0