Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultSligo Rovers to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceSligo Rovers or draw ✓89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Sligo Rovers vs Kerry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kerry travel to face Sligo Rovers on Saturday 15 August in the FAI Cup, with Showgrounds the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Sligo Rovers, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Derry City, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Kerry, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cork City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Kerry, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Sligo Rovers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sligo Rovers 2.8 xG, Kerry 1.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sligo Rovers 67%, draw 22%, Kerry 11%.
Lower-risk option: Sligo Rovers or draw (89%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sligo Rovers to win (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sligo Rovers 2–1 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sligo Rovers67%fair 1.50 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.10
Kerry11%fair 9.08 · @5.00
4.00Expected goals
2.78Sligo Rovers xG
1.22Kerry xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 2.8 – 1.2 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sligo Rovers to win✓
67%
1.50
1.55
Double chance
Sligo Rovers or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Draw no bet
Sligo Rovers (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Sligo Rovers -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Sligo Rovers to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Sligo Rovers ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sligo Rovers / FT Sligo Rovers✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Sligo Rovers – last 6
LDDWLL
7 Aug
@ Derry City
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ Dundalk
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Drogheda United
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Janesboro
4–0
W
14 Jul
vs Coleraine FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Galway United
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kerry – last 6
LWWWDD
7 Aug
@ Cork City
1–3
L
3 Aug
vs Cobh Ramblers
3–0
W
31 Jul
@ Bray Wanderers
4–0
W
24 Jul
vs Finn Harps
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Shelbourne
2–2
D
10 Jul
@ Wexford
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sligo Rovers and Kerry.
Our pick is Sligo Rovers to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Kerry?
On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kerry 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Kerry?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 2–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Sligo Rovers vs Kerry?
Sligo Rovers vs Kerry (FAI Cup) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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