Waterford 65%Draw 20%Athlone Town 15%Expected goals 2.17 – 0.97
65%
Betarazi pick
Waterford to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultWaterford to win ✓65% · @1.48
Double chanceWaterford or draw ✓85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12
Waterford vs Athlone Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waterford welcome Athlone Town to Regional Sports Centre for a FAI Cup fixture on Friday 14 August (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Waterford, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bohemians, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Athlone Town, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Longford Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Waterford, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Athlone Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 2.2 xG, Athlone Town 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 65%, draw 20%, Athlone Town 15%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Waterford to win (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 2–0 Athlone Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterford65%fair 1.55 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.20
Athlone Town15%fair 6.54 · @5.40
3.14Expected goals
2.17Waterford xG
0.97Athlone Town xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Waterford 2.2 – 1.0 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waterford to win✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Double chance
Waterford or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Draw no bet
Waterford (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Waterford -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Waterford to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Waterford ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waterford / FT Waterford✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Waterford – last 6
WWDWDW
9 Aug
vs Bohemians
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Shelbourne
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Galway United
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Cobh Ramblers
2–1
W
10 Jul
vs St Patrick's Athl.
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ Derry City
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Athlone Town – last 6
WLDLWW
7 Aug
vs Longford Town
2–1
W
3 Aug
@ Cork City
2–3
L
31 Jul
vs UCD
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Treaty United
1–2
L
17 Jul
vs Midleton
3–0
W
10 Jul
vs Cobh Ramblers
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waterford and Athlone Town.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Athlone Town?
Our pick is Waterford to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Waterford vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Waterford have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Athlone Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Waterford 2–0 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Athlone Town?
Waterford vs Athlone Town (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Galway United1
Bray Wanderers1
UCD1
Derry City2