On Thursday 5 November the Primera Division brings Firpo against Alianza. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Firpo are 1st, leading the league, on 40 points after 20 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Firpo, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FAS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Alianza, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Balboa, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Firpo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Alianza.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Oct 2026) it ended Alianza 2–2 Firpo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Firpo 1.8 xG, Alianza 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Firpo 61%, draw 25%, Alianza 14%.
Lower-risk option: Firpo or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Firpo 1–0 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Firpo61%fair 1.64 · @1.72
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.42
Alianza14%fair 6.91 · @4.26
2.63Expected goals
1.84Firpo xG
0.79Alianza xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Firpo 1.8 – 0.8 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Firpo vs Alianza?
On our numbers Firpo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza 14%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is Firpo 1–0 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Alianza?
Firpo vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
