Value bet: Municipal Limeño to win @ 1.76 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal Limeño to win ✗61% · @1.76
Double chanceMunicipal Limeño or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Thursday 5 November: Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San Francisco in the Primera Division. In the table, Municipal Limeño are 8th, lower half, on 23 points after 20 matches; Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
Municipal Limeño, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Isidro Metapán, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Águila, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Fuerte San Francisco 0–2 Municipal Limeño. The last 2 head-to-heads: Municipal Limeño 2 wins, Fuerte San Francisco 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal Limeño 2.0 xG, Fuerte San Francisco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal Limeño 61%, draw 25%, Fuerte San Francisco 14%.
Lower-risk option: Municipal Limeño or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Municipal Limeño to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal Limeño 2–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal Limeño61%fair 1.64 · @1.76
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.38
Fuerte San Francisco14%fair 6.97 · @4.08
2.83Expected goals
1.96Municipal Limeño xG
0.87Fuerte San Francisco xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Municipal Limeño 2.0 – 0.9 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Municipal Limeño have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fuerte San Francisco 14%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Municipal Limeño 2–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
