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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lota Schwager v Santiago Morning: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Lota Schwager 42%Draw 24%Santiago Morning 34% Expected goals 1.13 – 0.98
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultLota Schwager to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.21

Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santiago Morning travel to face Lota Schwager on Saturday 22 August in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Lota Schwager are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Santiago Morning are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lota Schwager, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportes Rengo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Santiago Morning, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Colina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lota Schwager 1.1 xG, Santiago Morning 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lota Schwager 42%, draw 24%, Santiago Morning 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lota Schwager42%fair 2.41 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.88
Santiago Morning34%fair 2.93 · @2.90
2.11Expected goals
1.13Lota Schwager xG
0.98Santiago Morning xG
56%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Lota Schwager 1.1 – 1.0 Santiago Morning expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLota Schwager to win ✗42%2.412.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.85
Draw no betLota Schwager (draw no bet)55%1.82–
Asian handicapSantiago Morning +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreLota Schwager to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lota Schwager / FT Lota Schwager ✗22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.21–

Recent results

Lota Schwager – last 6

LWDWLD
16 Aug@ Deportes Rengo0–1L
8 Augvs General Velásquez3–1W
12 Julvs Provincial Osorno2–2D
5 Jul@ Colchagua2–0W
28 Jun@ General Velásquez1–2L
21 Junvs Santiago Morning1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Santiago Morning – last 6

WDLLDL
17 Augvs Colina2–1W
10 Aug@ Real San Joaquín2–2D
4 Jul@ Deportes Rengo1–3L
28 Junvs Linares Unido0–1L
21 Jun@ Lota Schwager1–1D
7 Junvs General Velásquez0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Lota Schwager v Santiago Morning1–1
Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?

On our numbers Lota Schwager have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santiago Morning 34%.

How many goals will there be in Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?

Our predicted score is Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?

Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.