Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Real San Joaquín to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal San Joaquín to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Provincial Ovalle welcome Real San Joaquín to Estadio Diaguita for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 22 August (21:00 WAT). In the table, Provincial Ovalle are 14th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Real San Joaquín are 9th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Provincial Ovalle, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to General Velásquez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Real San Joaquín, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Santiago Morning, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Provincial Ovalle 1–6 Real San Joaquín.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Provincial Ovalle 1.4 xG, Real San Joaquín 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Provincial Ovalle 39%, draw 21%, Real San Joaquín 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Real San Joaquín to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Real San Joaquín. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Provincial Ovalle39%fair 2.57 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Real San Joaquín40%fair 2.52 · @2.90
2.81Expected goals
1.40Provincial Ovalle xG
1.41Real San Joaquín xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Provincial Ovalle 1.4 – 1.4 Real San Joaquín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
On our numbers Provincial Ovalle have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real San Joaquín 40%.
How many goals will there be in Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
Our predicted score is Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Real San Joaquín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín?
Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Diaguita.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
