Municipal Salamanca 44%Draw 23%Colchagua 33%Expected goals 1.11 – 0.91
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Colchagua to win @ 3.34 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal Salamanca to win ✗44% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.43
Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Segunda División brings Municipal Salamanca against Colchagua at Estadio Municipal de Salamanca. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Municipal Salamanca are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 12 matches; Colchagua are 3rd (among the top four) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Municipal Salamanca, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Concón National, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Colchagua, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Trasandino, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Colchagua 0–1 Municipal Salamanca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal Salamanca 1.1 xG, Colchagua 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal Salamanca 44%, draw 23%, Colchagua 33%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Colchagua to win @3.34 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal Salamanca 1–0 Colchagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal Salamanca44%fair 2.28 · @2.07
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.06
Colchagua33%fair 3.03 · @3.34
2.02Expected goals
1.11Municipal Salamanca xG
0.91Colchagua xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Municipal Salamanca 1.1 – 0.9 Colchagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?
On our numbers Municipal Salamanca have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colchagua 33%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?
Our predicted score is Municipal Salamanca 1–0 Colchagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?
Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Salamanca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
