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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boden v Lucksta: numbers & prediction

Boden

WLLLW
2–5
FT

Lucksta

WLLLL
Boden 43%Draw 20%Lucksta 37% Expected goals 1.75 – 1.62
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultBoden to win ✗43% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

Boden vs Lucksta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Boden v Lucksta in the Division 2 Norrland. In the table, Boden are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 12 matches; Lucksta are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Boden, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Täfteå, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Lucksta, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Skellefteå, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Lucksta 3–0 Boden.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boden 1.7 xG, Lucksta 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boden 43%, draw 20%, Lucksta 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.39.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boden 1–1 Lucksta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boden43%fair 2.34 · @2.24
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.62
Lucksta37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
3.37Expected goals
1.75Boden xG
1.62Lucksta xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Boden 1.7 – 1.6 Lucksta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoden to win ✗43%2.342.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.39
Draw no betBoden (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapLucksta +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.771.63
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.351.24
First team to scoreBoden to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boden / FT Boden ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.74–

Recent results

Boden – last 6

WLLLWL
10 Oct@ Täfteå2–1W
3 Oct@ Gottne2–4L
26 Sep@ IFK Östersund0–2L
19 Sepvs Skellefteå0–2L
16 Sepvs IFK Luleå1–0W
12 Sep@ Kubikenborg1–6L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lucksta – last 6

WLLLLW
11 Octvs Skellefteå2–1W
3 Octvs IFK Östersund2–5L
27 Sepvs Täfteå1–2L
19 Sep@ IFK Luleå1–3L
16 Sep@ Kubikenborg2–4L
12 Sepvs Gottne4–2W
2.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Lucksta v Boden3–0
Boden vs Lucksta head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norrland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skellefteå12831+1827
2Täfteå12813+2125
3IFK Luleå12813+1825
4Boden12453+117
5Umeå FC Akademi12255-1211
6Storfors12228-188
7IFK Umeå121110-284
1Kubikenborg12723+923
2Gottne12723+523
3Lucksta12534018
4IFK Östersund12453+317
5Friska Viljor12264+212
6Umea FF12255-411
7Fransta12237-159

More Division 2 Norrland predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boden vs Lucksta?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Boden vs Lucksta?

On our numbers Boden have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lucksta 37%.

How many goals will there be in Boden vs Lucksta?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boden vs Lucksta?

Our predicted score is Boden 1–1 Lucksta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Boden vs Lucksta?

Boden vs Lucksta (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.