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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

IFK Östersund v IFK Luleå: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT
IFK Östersund 57%Draw 21%IFK Luleå 22% Expected goals 2.19 – 1.32
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds
1

Value bet: IFK Östersund to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIFK Östersund to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: IFK Östersund v IFK Luleå in the Division 2 Norrland. In the table, IFK Östersund are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 12 matches; IFK Luleå are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

IFK Östersund, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kubikenborg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

IFK Luleå, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gottne, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours IFK Luleå, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for IFK Östersund.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended IFK Luleå 4–3 IFK Östersund.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IFK Östersund 2.2 xG, IFK Luleå 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Östersund 57%, draw 21%, IFK Luleå 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.38.
  • Price worth noting: IFK Östersund to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Östersund 2–1 IFK Luleå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IFK Östersund57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.74
IFK Luleå22%fair 4.55 · @3.04
3.51Expected goals
2.19IFK Östersund xG
1.32IFK Luleå xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: IFK Östersund 2.2 – 1.3 IFK Luleå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIFK Östersund to win ✗57%1.761.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.531.38
Draw no betIFK Östersund (draw no bet)72%1.39–
Asian handicapIFK Luleå +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.851.69
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.391.27
First team to scoreIFK Östersund to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultIFK Östersund ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT IFK Östersund / FT IFK Östersund ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

IFK Östersund – last 6

LWWLWW
10 Oct@ Kubikenborg0–2L
3 Oct@ Lucksta5–2W
26 Sepvs Boden2–0W
20 Sep@ Täfteå1–2L
16 Sepvs Gottne4–0W
12 Sepvs Skellefteå5–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

IFK Luleå – last 6

WWWWLW
10 Octvs Gottne3–1W
3 Octvs Skellefteå4–2W
26 Sep@ Kubikenborg1–0W
19 Sepvs Lucksta3–1W
16 Sep@ Boden0–1L
12 Sep@ Täfteå2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026IFK Luleå v IFK Östersund4–3
IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norrland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skellefteå12831+1827
2Täfteå12813+2125
3IFK Luleå12813+1825
4Boden12453+117
5Umeå FC Akademi12255-1211
6Storfors12228-188
7IFK Umeå121110-284
1Kubikenborg12723+923
2Gottne12723+523
3Lucksta12534018
4IFK Östersund12453+317
5Friska Viljor12264+212
6Umea FF12255-411
7Fransta12237-159

More Division 2 Norrland predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå?

On our numbers IFK Östersund have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IFK Luleå 22%.

How many goals will there be in IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå?

Our predicted score is IFK Östersund 2–1 IFK Luleå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå?

IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.