Roma W 65%Draw 23%AC Milan W 12%Expected goals 2.74 – 1.26
65%
Betarazi pick
Roma W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRoma W to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceRoma W or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Roma W vs AC Milan W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Serie A Women brings Roma W against AC Milan W at Stadio Tre Fontane. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Roma W are 1st, leading the league, on 18 points after 6 matches; AC Milan W are 8th (lower half) with 6. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Roma W, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lazio W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
AC Milan W, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Juventus W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Roma W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for AC Milan W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roma W 2.7 xG, AC Milan W 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roma W 65%, draw 23%, AC Milan W 12%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Roma W to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roma W 2–1 AC Milan W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roma W65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.90
AC Milan W12%fair 8.66 · @6.00
4.00Expected goals
2.74Roma W xG
1.26AC Milan W xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–16%
4–15%
From our goals model: Roma W 2.7 – 1.3 AC Milan W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roma W to win✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Double chance
Roma W or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Roma W (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Roma W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Roma W to score first
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Roma W ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roma W / FT Roma W✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Roma W – last 6
WLWDDW
3 Oct
vs Lazio W
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Barcelona W
0–6
L
27 Sep
@ Sassuolo W
3–1
W
23 Sep
@ OH Leuven W
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Juventus W
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Sassuolo W
7–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AC Milan W – last 6
WLLWDL
4 Oct
vs Juventus W
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Como 1907 W
1–4
L
6 Sep
@ Juventus W
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Como W
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Como W
1–1
D
17 May
@ Ternana W
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roma W and AC Milan W.
Our pick is Roma W to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Roma W vs AC Milan W?
On our numbers Roma W have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Milan W 12%.
How many goals will there be in Roma W vs AC Milan W?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roma W vs AC Milan W?
Our predicted score is Roma W 2–1 AC Milan W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Roma W vs AC Milan W?
Roma W vs AC Milan W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Fontane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
