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Inter Milano W v Parma W: numbers & prediction

Serie A Women · Italy · Stadio Ernesto Breda
3–0
FT

Parma W

LDLLL
Inter Milano W 69%Draw 21%Parma W 10% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.51
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultInter Milano W to win ✓69% · @1.36
Double chanceInter Milano W or draw ✓90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.61

Inter Milano W vs Parma W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 18 October the Serie A Women brings Inter Milano W against Parma W at Stadio Ernesto Breda. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Inter Milano W are 2nd, among the top four, on 16 points after 6 matches; Parma W are 10th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

Inter Milano W, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Como W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Parma W, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ternana W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Inter Milano W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Parma W.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Aug 2026) it ended Parma W 0–1 Inter Milano W. The last 2 head-to-heads: Inter Milano W 2 wins, Parma W 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Inter Milano W 1.8 xG, Parma W 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Inter Milano W 69%, draw 21%, Parma W 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter Milano W 1–0 Parma W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Inter Milano W69%fair 1.44 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.40
Parma W10%fair 10.53 · @6.50
2.32Expected goals
1.82Inter Milano W xG
0.51Parma W xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Inter Milano W 1.8 – 0.5 Parma W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInter Milano W to win ✓69%1.441.36
Double chanceInter Milano W or draw ✓90%1.101.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.921.73
Draw no betInter Milano W (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapInter Milano W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.932.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.17
First team to scoreInter Milano W to score first ✓71%1.42–
Half-time resultInter Milano W ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Inter Milano W / FT Inter Milano W ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.61–

Recent results

Inter Milano W – last 6

WDWWLW
4 Oct@ Como W2–0W
1 Oct@ Austria Wien W1–1D
27 Sepvs Fiorentina W2–0W
22 Sepvs Häcken W1–0W
12 Sep@ Juventus W0–1L
6 Sepvs Lazio W3–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Parma W – last 6

LDLLLL
3 Octvs Ternana W1–2L
26 Sep@ Lazio W0–0D
6 Sep@ Napoli W0–1L
30 Aug@ Lazio W0–2L
21 Augvs Inter Milano W0–1L
17 Mayvs Juventus W1–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Aug 2026Parma W v Inter Milano W0–1
15 Feb 2026Parma W v Inter Milano W2–3
Inter Milano W vs Parma W head-to-head page →

Serie A Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Roma W6600+1418
2Inter Milano W6510+1316
3Como 1907 W6321+211
4Fiorentina W6312+410
5Juventus W6303-29
6Como W6222-18
7Ternana W6213-67
8AC Milan W6204-56
9Napoli W6123-15
10Parma W6123-45
11Lazio W6033-63
12Sassuolo W6024-82

More Serie A Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter Milano W vs Parma W?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Inter Milano W vs Parma W?

On our numbers Inter Milano W have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Parma W 10%.

How many goals will there be in Inter Milano W vs Parma W?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Inter Milano W vs Parma W?

Our predicted score is Inter Milano W 1–0 Parma W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Inter Milano W vs Parma W?

Inter Milano W vs Parma W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.