Ascoli vs Benevento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Serie B brings Ascoli against Benevento at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Ascoli are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Benevento are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Ascoli, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Carrarese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Benevento, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sudtirol, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ascoli 1.4 xG, Benevento 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ascoli 43%, draw 24%, Benevento 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ascoli 1–1 Benevento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ascoli43%fair 2.32 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Benevento33%fair 3.04 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.36Ascoli xG
1.14Benevento xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.4 – 1.1 Benevento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✓
43%
2.32
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Ascoli (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Benevento +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ascoli to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Ascoli – last 6
DWLWLL
29 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Genoa
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Potenza
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Frosinone
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Benevento – last 6
DLLWDW
30 Aug
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Modena
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Ravenna
5–3
W
1 Aug
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascoli and Benevento.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Ascoli vs Benevento?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Benevento 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Benevento?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Benevento?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Benevento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Benevento?
Ascoli vs Benevento (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
