Carrarese vs Empoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Carrarese welcome Empoli to Stadio dei Marmi for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 5 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Carrarese are 17th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Empoli are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Carrarese, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ascoli, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Empoli, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mantova, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Empoli, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Carrarese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carrarese 1.3 xG, Empoli 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carrarese 41%, draw 25%, Empoli 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrarese 1–1 Empoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carrarese41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Empoli34%fair 2.90 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.32Carrarese xG
1.18Empoli xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.3 – 1.2 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carrarese to win✗
41%
2.44
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Carrarese (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Empoli +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Carrarese to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carrarese / FT Carrarese✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Carrarese – last 6
DLLWLL
29 Aug
@ Ascoli
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Mantova
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Torino
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Napoli
0–2
L
8 May
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
LWDDDW
30 Aug
@ Mantova
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Cremonese
1–0
W
17 Aug
@ Pisa
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Livorno
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Spezia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Empoli.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Carrarese vs Empoli?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Empoli 34%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Empoli?
Carrarese vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
