Value bet: Avellino to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPalermo to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Avellino vs Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Avellino welcome Palermo to Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 13 September (16:15 WAT). In the table, Avellino are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Palermo are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Avellino, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Modena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Palermo, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sampdoria, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Avellino.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Palermo 2–0 Avellino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avellino 1.2 xG, Palermo 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avellino 30%, draw 23%, Palermo 47%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Avellino to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avellino 1–1 Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avellino30%fair 3.30 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Palermo47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
2.83Expected goals
1.23Avellino xG
1.60Palermo xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Avellino 1.2 – 1.6 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Avellino vs Palermo?
On our numbers Avellino have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palermo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Avellino vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Avellino 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Avellino vs Palermo?
Avellino vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
