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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mantova v Sampdoria: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio Danilo Martelli

Mantova

DLWWW
2–0
FT
Mantova 50%Draw 24%Sampdoria 26% Expected goals 1.77 – 1.23
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultMantova to win ✓50% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42

Mantova vs Sampdoria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sampdoria travel to face Mantova on Sunday 13 September in the Serie B, with Stadio Danilo Martelli the venue – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Mantova are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Sampdoria are 15th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Mantova, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cesena, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Sampdoria, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Palermo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mantova, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Sampdoria.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Mantova 2–1 Sampdoria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.8 xG, Sampdoria 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 50%, draw 24%, Sampdoria 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 1–1 Sampdoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mantova50%fair 2.02 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Sampdoria26%fair 3.86 · @3.50
3.00Expected goals
1.77Mantova xG
1.23Sampdoria xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Mantova 1.8 – 1.2 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMantova to win ✓50%2.022.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.981.91
Draw no betMantova (draw no bet) ✓66%1.52–
Asian handicapSampdoria +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreMantova to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mantova / FT Mantova ✗31%3.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.42–

Recent results

Mantova – last 6

DLWWWL
6 Sep@ Cesena1–1D
3 Sep@ Palermo2–5L
30 Augvs Empoli3–1W
22 Aug@ Carrarese2–1W
16 Aug@ Lazio2–0W
9 Augvs Athletic Carpi0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sampdoria – last 6

LLDLWL
7 Sep@ Palermo1–3L
29 Augvs Juve Stabia1–2L
23 Aug@ Cesena1–1D
17 Aug@ Cremonese0–2L
9 Aug@ Parma2–0W
1 Augvs Novara1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Mantova v Sampdoria2–1
Mantova vs Sampdoria head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mantova vs Sampdoria?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Mantova vs Sampdoria?

On our numbers Mantova have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sampdoria 26%.

How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Sampdoria?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Sampdoria?

Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Mantova vs Sampdoria?

Mantova vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.