Value bet: Hellas Verona to win @ 2.52 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHellas Verona to win ✗44% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Benevento vs Hellas Verona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 11 September the Serie B brings Benevento against Hellas Verona at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Benevento are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Hellas Verona are 7th (upper half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Benevento, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ascoli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Hellas Verona, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Arezzo, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Hellas Verona, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Benevento.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benevento 1.2 xG, Hellas Verona 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benevento 33%, draw 23%, Hellas Verona 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Hellas Verona to win @2.52 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benevento 1–1 Hellas Verona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benevento33%fair 3.07 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.15
Hellas Verona44%fair 2.26 · @2.52
2.62Expected goals
1.19Benevento xG
1.43Hellas Verona xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.2 – 1.4 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hellas Verona to win✗
44%
2.26
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Hellas Verona (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Benevento +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Hellas Verona to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hellas Verona / FT Hellas Verona✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Benevento – last 6
LDLLWD
5 Sep
@ Ascoli
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Modena
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Ravenna
5–3
W
1 Aug
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 6
WWDLDW
6 Sep
vs Arezzo
5–0
W
3 Sep
@ Cagliari
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Padova
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Ascoli
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Lecco
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers Benevento have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hellas Verona 44%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–1 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
Benevento vs Hellas Verona (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
