Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultEmpoli to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Empoli vs Arezzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 11 September: Empoli v Arezzo in the Serie B, played at Stadio Carlo Castellani. In the table, Empoli are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 11 matches; Arezzo are 14th (lower half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Empoli, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Carrarese, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Arezzo, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Hellas Verona, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Empoli 1.8 xG, Arezzo 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Empoli 48%, draw 24%, Arezzo 28%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Empoli 1–1 Arezzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Empoli48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Arezzo28%fair 3.59 · @3.60
3.17Expected goals
1.82Empoli xG
1.35Arezzo xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Empoli 1.8 – 1.3 Arezzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Empoli to win✗
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Empoli (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Arezzo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Empoli to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Empoli / FT Empoli✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Empoli – last 6
WLWDDD
5 Sep
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Mantova
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Cremonese
1–0
W
17 Aug
@ Pisa
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Livorno
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Spezia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Arezzo – last 6
LLWLWD
6 Sep
@ Hellas Verona
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Palermo
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Avellino
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Union Brescia
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Parma
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Empoli and Arezzo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Empoli vs Arezzo?
On our numbers Empoli have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arezzo 28%.
How many goals will there be in Empoli vs Arezzo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Empoli vs Arezzo?
Our predicted score is Empoli 1–1 Arezzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Empoli vs Arezzo?
Empoli vs Arezzo (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
