Value bet: Hellas Verona to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultModena to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Modena vs Hellas Verona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Modena v Hellas Verona in the Serie B, played at Stadio Alberto Braglia. In the table, Modena are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 11 matches; Hellas Verona are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Modena, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Empoli, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Hellas Verona, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Lugano, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Modena 1.6 xG, Hellas Verona 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Modena 46%, draw 23%, Hellas Verona 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Hellas Verona to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Modena 1–1 Hellas Verona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Modena46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Hellas Verona31%fair 3.23 · @3.50
2.90Expected goals
1.62Modena xG
1.28Hellas Verona xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Modena 1.6 – 1.3 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✓
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Draw no bet
Modena (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Hellas Verona +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Modena to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Modena – last 6
WDLWWL
20 Sep
vs Empoli
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sudtirol
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Avellino
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Cremonese
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Benevento
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Venezia
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 6
WWLWWD
2 Oct
@ FC Lugano
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Benevento
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Arezzo
5–0
W
3 Sep
@ Cagliari
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Padova
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Modena and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for Modena vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Modena vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers Modena have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hellas Verona 31%.
How many goals will there be in Modena vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is Modena 1–1 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Modena vs Hellas Verona?
Modena vs Hellas Verona (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
