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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cesena v Avellino: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio Dino Manuzzi

Cesena

LDDDW
1–1
FT
Cesena 42%Draw 23%Avellino 35% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.30
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultCesena to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Cesena vs Avellino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cesena welcome Avellino to Stadio Dino Manuzzi for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 18 October (16:15 WAT). In the table, Cesena are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Avellino are 5th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cesena, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Benevento, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Avellino, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sampdoria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Avellino, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Cesena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cesena 1.4 xG, Avellino 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cesena 42%, draw 23%, Avellino 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cesena 1–1 Avellino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cesena42%fair 2.39 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Avellino35%fair 2.85 · @3.00
2.75Expected goals
1.45Cesena xG
1.30Avellino xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Cesena 1.4 – 1.3 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCesena to win ✗42%2.392.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.70
Draw no betCesena (draw no bet)54%1.84–
Asian handicapAvellino +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreCesena to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cesena / FT Cesena ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Cesena – last 6

LDDDWD
10 Oct@ Benevento0–2L
18 Sep@ Juve Stabia1–1D
12 Sepvs Cremonese2–2D
6 Sepvs Mantova1–1D
29 Aug@ Virtus Entella2–1W
23 Augvs Sampdoria1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Avellino – last 6

WLDWWL
9 Octvs Sampdoria4–1W
19 Sep@ Ascoli1–3L
13 Sepvs Palermo1–1D
6 Sep@ Modena1–0W
29 Augvs Vicenza Virtus3–0W
22 Augvs Arezzo1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Avellino.

Cesena vs Avellino head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cesena vs Avellino?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Cesena vs Avellino?

On our numbers Cesena have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avellino 35%.

How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Avellino?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Avellino?

Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cesena vs Avellino?

Cesena vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.