Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sampdoria to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSampdoria to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceSampdoria or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Sampdoria vs Arezzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sampdoria welcome Arezzo to Stadio Luigi Ferraris for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 18 October (18:30 WAT). In the table, Sampdoria are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Arezzo are 14th (lower half) with 11. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sampdoria, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Avellino, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Arezzo, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cremonese, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arezzo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sampdoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sampdoria 2.2 xG, Arezzo 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sampdoria 63%, draw 21%, Arezzo 15%.
Lower-risk option: Sampdoria or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sampdoria to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sampdoria or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampdoria 2–0 Arezzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sampdoria63%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.30
Arezzo15%fair 6.56 · @4.00
3.17Expected goals
2.18Sampdoria xG
0.99Arezzo xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sampdoria 2.2 – 1.0 Arezzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampdoria to win✗
63%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sampdoria or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Sampdoria (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Sampdoria -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Sampdoria to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Sampdoria ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampdoria / FT Sampdoria✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Sampdoria – last 6
LWLLLD
9 Oct
@ Avellino
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Catanzaro
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Mantova
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ Palermo
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Cesena
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arezzo – last 6
DLWLLW
10 Oct
vs Cremonese
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Sudtirol
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ Empoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hellas Verona
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Palermo
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Avellino
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampdoria and Arezzo.
Our pick is Sampdoria or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
On our numbers Sampdoria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arezzo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
Our predicted score is Sampdoria 2–0 Arezzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
Sampdoria vs Arezzo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
