Ascoli v Sampdoria Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAscoli to win ✓46% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Ascoli vs Sampdoria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Ascoli v Sampdoria in the Serie B, played at Cino e Lillo Del Duca. In the table, Ascoli are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Sampdoria are 15th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Ascoli, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Catanzaro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Sampdoria, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sudtirol, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ascoli, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Sampdoria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ascoli 1.5 xG, Sampdoria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ascoli 46%, draw 23%, Sampdoria 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ascoli 1–1 Sampdoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ascoli46%fair 2.17 · @2.15

Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10

Sampdoria31%fair 3.26 · @3.30

2.75Expected goals

1.55Ascoli xG

1.20Sampdoria xG

59%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

1–27%

From our goals model: Ascoli 1.5 – 1.2 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ascoli to win ✓	46%	2.17	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.69	1.70
Draw no bet	Ascoli (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	Sampdoria +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	71%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.93	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	–
First team to score	Ascoli to score first ✓	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli ✗	27%	3.71	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.88	–

Ascoli – last 6

WDDWLW

24 Oct	@ Catanzaro	6–1	W
17 Oct	vs Empoli	1–1	D
10 Oct	@ Sudtirol	0–0	D
19 Sep	vs Avellino	3–1	W
12 Sep	@ Padova	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs Benevento	1–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sampdoria – last 6

DLLWLL

24 Oct	@ Sudtirol	1–1	D
18 Oct	vs Arezzo	1–2	L
9 Oct	@ Avellino	1–4	L
19 Sep	vs Catanzaro	2–1	W
13 Sep	@ Mantova	0–2	L
7 Sep	@ Palermo	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

On our numbers Ascoli have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sampdoria 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

Ascoli vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Cino e Lillo Del Duca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ascoli v Sampdoria: numbers & prediction