Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPadova to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.63
Padova vs Sudtirol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sudtirol travel to face Padova on Tuesday 27 October in the Serie B, with Stadio Comunale Euganeo the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Padova are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Sudtirol are 12th (lower half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Padova, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Avellino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sudtirol, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sampdoria, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Padova 1.1 xG, Sudtirol 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Padova 39%, draw 24%, Sudtirol 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Sudtirol to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Padova 1–1 Sudtirol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Padova39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Sudtirol37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
2.13Expected goals
1.09Padova xG
1.04Sudtirol xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Padova 1.1 – 1.0 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Padova to win✓
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Draw no bet
Padova (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Sudtirol +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Padova to score first✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Padova / FT Padova✓
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.63
–
Recent results
Padova – last 6
WLLLWL
24 Oct
@ Avellino
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Virtus Entella
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Carrarese
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Palermo
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Cremonese
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sudtirol – last 6
DLDLWL
24 Oct
vs Sampdoria
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Juve Stabia
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Ascoli
0–0
D
2 Oct
vs Wacker Innsbruck
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Arezzo
4–1
W
15 Sep
@ Genoa
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Padova and Sudtirol.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Padova vs Sudtirol?
On our numbers Padova have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sudtirol 37%.
How many goals will there be in Padova vs Sudtirol?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Padova vs Sudtirol?
Our predicted score is Padova 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Padova vs Sudtirol?
Padova vs Sudtirol (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
